S&PShadow Forecast
OK

Rolling performance

How it’s doing over time

Forecast accuracy, sell-outs, and waste — against how things ran before the AI.

Forecast accuracy

AI forecastOld way (last week)

Higher is better · % of demand predicted correctly

Waste

Waste rate
7.2%
Thrown away
199
Donated
1435

Share of delivered stock written off each week · baseline ~10%, target ~9.3–9.5%

Counted in pieces (baht values not yet available). Donations are counted separately from thrown-away stock.

Ran out (sold out)

Lower is better · before the AI, ~43% of items sold out

Just right (1–3 left at close)

Higher is better · before the AI, only ~25% landed here

Ordering style

3-month simulation

How much to order trades off running out vs having waste. Every AI style below orders fewer or similar total pieces than today — yet runs out less, by placing stock where demand actually is.

AI stylePieces orderedSold out
Leanorder less17,00440.1%
Careful19,55936.3%
Balancedrecommended22,06629.3%
Generousrarely runs out25,01020.9%
For comparison — today, without AI: 26,251 pieces ordered, 43.4%sold out. That’s more pieces than every AI style yet the most sell-outs — because orders aren’t matched to each store & item’s real demand. The opportunity is better placement, not just volume.